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Multiple Government Disorder April 3, 2007

Posted by Jim Satterfield in Foreign Relations.
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I am always somewhat puzzled when I read of people speaking of how everyone needs to reason with Iran. While it is most certainly true that there is no justification for the use of military force in the near future I question how much attention the people who make these statements are really paying to conditions in that country. Because I always want to know which Iran they expect us to reason with. An article in the New York Times points out the conditions there that lead me to my opinion.

 There is not one Iran. There are multiple centers of power that don’t always agree with each other but the only two with any real power are the extremely conservative and the fanatically conservative.

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1. double-soup tuesday - April 4, 2007

There is not one Iran. There are multiple centers of power that don’t always agree with each other but the only two with any real power are the extremely conservative and the fanatically conservative.

Don’t worry. We’re working on breaking that country up, just like Iraq. Smaller pieces are easier to cart away.

2. Jim Satterfield - April 8, 2007

The only meaningful change in Iran will come when the populace gets tired enough of the Guardian Council thwarting their will by making it impossible for them to have candidates of their choice, or when some candidates like that do slip through they prevent any laws they don’t like from taking effect.

It will take another revolution or something else so shattering that the very structure of their existing government will change.


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